Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Odds
This market has resolved: Harry Kane. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 30 |
| Kylian Mbappé | 0% | — | ▼ 18 |
| Erling Haaland | 0% | — | — |
| Jude Bellingham | 0% | — | — |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 0% | — | — |
| Mohamed Salah | 0% | — | — |
| Lamine Yamal | 0% | — | ▼ 11 |
| Vinícius Júnior | 0% | — | — |
| Pedri | 0% | — | — |
| Cole Palmer | 0% | — | — |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
| Michael Olise | 0% | — | — |
| Declan Rice | 0% | — | — |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 0% | — | — |
| Vitinha | 0% | — | — |
| Federico Valverde | 0% | — | — |
| Julian Alvarez | 0% | — | — |
| Desire Doue | 0% | — | — |
| Raphinha | 0% | — | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | 0% | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | 0% | — | — |
| Luis Diaz | 0% | — | — |
| Lautaro Martinez | 0% | — | — |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | 0% | — | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 0% | — | — |
| Lionel Messi | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Rodri | 0% | — | — |
| Pau Cubarsi | 0% | — | — |
| Fabian Ruiz | 0% | — | — |
| Rodrygo | 0% | — | — |
| Enzo Fernandez | 0% | — | — |
| Bukayo Saka | 0% | — | — |
| Gavi | 0% | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | 0% | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | 0% | — | — |
| Sadio Mané | 0% | — | — |
| Marquinhos | 0% | — | — |
| Nuno Mendes | 0% | — | — |
| João Neves | 0% | — | — |
| Willian Pacho | 0% | — | — |
Showing the top 40 of 89 outcomes.
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.