Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026 Odds
This market has resolved: Harry Kane. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 12 |
| Lamine Yamal | 0% | — | ▼ 31 |
| Kylian Mbappé ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 28 |
| Rodri | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 0% | — | ▼ 10 |
| Lionel Messi | 0% | — | ▼ 7 |
| Fabian Ruiz | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Pau Cubarsi | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Erling Haaland | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Jude Bellingham | 0% | — | — |
| Michael Olise | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Vinícius Júnior | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Declan Rice | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Vitinha | 0% | — | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | 0% | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | 0% | — | — |
| Luis Diaz | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Lautaro Martinez | 0% | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Gabriel Magalhães | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Sadio Mané | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Marquinhos | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Nuno Mendes | 0% | — | — |
| João Neves | 0% | — | — |
| Willian Pacho | 0% | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| William Saliba | 0% | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | 0% | — | ▼ 4 |
| Dayot Upamecano | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.