Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers Odds · Top 3 in 2026
This market has resolved: Harry Kane. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jude Bellingham | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Pau Cubarsí | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Marc Cucurella | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Luis Díaz | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | 0% | — | — |
| Gabriel | 0% | — | — |
| Erling Haaland | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | 0% | — | — |
| Harry Kane ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Lamine Yamal ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Sadio Mané | 0% | — | — |
| Marquinhos | 0% | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | 0% | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Nuno Mendes | 0% | — | — |
| Lionel Messi | 1% | +9900 | — |
| João Neves | 0% | — | — |
| Michael Olise | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Willian Pacho | 0% | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Declan Rice | 0% | — | — |
| Rodri | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | 1% | +9900 | — |
| William Saliba | 0% | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Dayot Upamecano | 0% | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Vitinha | 1% | +9900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Jude Bellingham is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Oct 27, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.