Ballon d'Or 2026: 5th Place Odds
This market has resolved: Lionel Messi. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 35 |
| Harry Kane | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Lamine Yamal | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Kylian Mbappé | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Rodri | 0% | — | ▼ 11 |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 0% | — | ▼ 15 |
| Fabian Ruiz | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 0% | — | ▼ 4 |
| Pau Cubarsi | 0% | — | — |
| Erling Haaland | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Jude Bellingham | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Michael Olise | 0% | — | ▼ 9 |
| Vinícius Júnior | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Declan Rice | 0% | — | — |
| Vitinha | 0% | — | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Bruno Fernandes | 0% | — | — |
| Luis Diaz | 0% | — | — |
| Lautaro Martinez | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Marc Cucurella | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Gabriel Magalhães | 0% | — | — |
| Sadio Mané | 0% | — | — |
| Marquinhos | 0% | — | — |
| Nuno Mendes | 0% | — | — |
| João Neves | 0% | — | — |
| Willian Pacho | 0% | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | 0% | — | — |
| William Saliba | 0% | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Dayot Upamecano | 0% | — | ▼ 0 |
| Player A | 0% | — | — |
| Player B | 0% | — | — |
| Player C | 0% | — | — |
| Player D | 0% | — | — |
| Player E | 0% | — | — |
| Player F | 0% | — | — |
| Player G | 0% | — | — |
| Player H | 0% | — | — |
| Player I | 0% | — | — |
| Player J | 0% | — | — |
Showing the top 40 of 51 outcomes.
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 5th place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 5th place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Ballon d'Or 2026: 5th Place?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.