AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

ATP Tennis: Shanghai, China Winner Odds

This market has resolved: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Final prices are below.

Polymarket Volume $94.0K Ended Oct 19, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ✓
100% — ▲ 56
Alexander Zverev
0% — ▼ 47
Yibing Wu
0% — ▼ 1
Michael Zheng
0% — ▼ 22
Quentin Halys
0% — ▼ 1
Coleman Wong
0% — ▼ 20
Alexander Blockx
0% — ▼ 1
Alexander Bublik
0% — ▼ 3
Zhizhen Zhang
0% — ▼ 24
Tomas Machac
0% — —
Aleksandar Kovacevic
0% — ▼ 21
Matteo Berrettini
0% — ▼ 1
Brandon Nakashima
0% — ▲ 19
Alex de Minaur
0% — ▼ 2
Alex Molcan
0% — ▲ 9
Federico Cina
0% — ▼ 37
Marco Trungelliti
0% — ▼ 36
Rei Sakamoto
0% — ▼ 1
Andrey Rublev
0% — ▲ 8
Karen Khachanov
0% — ▼ 3
Arthur Fery
0% — ▲ 9
Marin Cilic
0% — ▼ 22
Adrian Mannarino
0% — ▼ 1
Nikoloz Basilashvili
0% — ▼ 22
Flavio Cobolli
0% — ▼ 1
Ben Shelton
0% — ▼ 7
Holger Rune
0% — ▼ 1
Daniel Altmaier
0% — ▲ 9
Arthur Gea
0% — ▼ 5
Jaime Faria
0% — ▼ 21
Ugo Humbert
0% — ▲ 9
Francisco Cerundolo
0% — ▼ 1
Rinky Hijikata
0% — ▼ 36
Roman Safiullin
0% — ▲ 8
Sho Shimabukuro
0% — ▼ 37
Miomir Kecmanovic
0% — ▼ 1
Jakub Mensik
0% — ▼ 3
Novak Djokovic
0% — ▼ 6
Hubert Hurkacz
0% — ▼ 3
James Duckworth
0% — ▲ 5

Showing the top 40 of 117 outcomes.

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 16 Oct 22
Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlexander Zverev

Resolution rules

The 2026 Shanghai, China tennis tournament is scheduled for October 5–18, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Oct 19, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on ATP Tennis: Shanghai, China Winner?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.