AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

ATP Shanghai Winner Odds · 2026 ATP Shanghai

This market has resolved: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $50.1K Ended Nov 2, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ✓
99% -9900 —
Sebastian Baez
64% -178 —
Daniel Altmaier
64% -178 —
Flavio Cobolli
12% +733 —
Frances Tiafoe
10% +900 —
Matteo Arnaldi
7% +1329 —
Yi Zhou
5% +1900 —
Learner Tien
4% +2400 —
James Duckworth
3% +3233 —
Matteo Berrettini
3% +3233 —
Alex Molcan
3% +3233 —
Taylor Fritz
3% +3233 —
Jiri Lehecka
3% +3233 —
Ignacio Buse
3% +3233 —
Valentin Vacherot
2% +4900 —
Carlos Alcaraz
2% +4900 —
Arthur Fils
2% +4900 —
Mattia Bellucci
1% +9900 —
Michael Zheng
1% +9900 —
Terence Atmane
1% +9900 —
Nikoloz Basilashvili
1% +9900 —
Stefanos Sakellaridis
1% +9900 —
Rei Sakamoto
1% +9900 —
Nishesh Basavareddy
1% +9900 —
Federico Cina
1% +9900 —
Ilia Simakin
1% +9900 —
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1% +9900 —
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1% +9900 —
Hubert Hurkacz
1% +9900 —
Zizou Bergs
1% +9900 —
Botic Van de Zandschulp
1% +9900 —
Yunchaokete Bu
1% +9900 —
Arthur Gea
1% +9900 —
Jakub Mensik
1% +9900 —
Alexander Zverev
1% +9900 —
Alexander Blockx
1% +9900 —
Alexander Bublik
1% +9900 —
Tomas Machac
1% +9900 —
Alex de Minaur
1% +9900 —
Karen Khachanov
1% +9900 —

Showing the top 40 of 102 outcomes.

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 17 Oct 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Resolution rules

If Lorenzo Sonego wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 2, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on ATP Shanghai Winner?

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