AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Odds

This market has resolved: Completed Match. Final prices are below.

Polymarket Volume $806K Ended Nov 11, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
100% — ▲ 84
Completed Match ✓
100% — ▲ 49
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 Winner
100% — ▲ 76
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 Winner
100% — ▲ 65
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 2.5
0% — ▼ 30
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 8.5
100% — ▲ 29
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 9.5
100% — ▲ 50
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 10.5
0% — ▼ 25
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 8.5
100% — ▲ 51
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 9.5
100% — ▲ 51
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 10.5
0% — ▼ 49
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 21.5
0% — ▼ 44
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 22.5
0% — ▼ 37
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 23.5
0% — ▼ 32
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5
0% — ▼ 62
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev Game Spread +/-5.5
0% — ▼ 42

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 3 Nov 4
Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Daniil Medvedev in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Ignacio Buse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Nov 11, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.