AL Reliever of the Year Winner Odds · 2026 season
Kalshi traders give Louis Varland a 74% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Varland | 74% | -285 | ▼ 19 |
| Bryan Baker | 9% | +1011 | — |
| Josh Hader | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Kenley Jansen | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Cade Smith | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Aroldis Chapman | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Andres Muñoz | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Carlos Estevez | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jeff Hoffman | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Ryan Helsley | <1% | +19900 | — |
| David Bednar | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Kyle Finnegan | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Will Vest | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Griffin Jax | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Kirby Yates | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Taylor Rogers | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Robert Garcia | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jordan Leasure | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Bryan Abreu | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Grant Taylor | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Robert Stephenson | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Tie/Co-Winners | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Jacob Latz | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Brent Headrick | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Brayan Bello | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Cade Smith wins the Pro Baseball American League Reliever of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in AL Reliever of the Year Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Louis Varland at 74%, about -285 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on AL Reliever of the Year Winner?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.