AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship: Top 5 Finishers Odds · 2026 Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship

Kalshi Volume $4.8K 24h $3.5K Ends Nov 22, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Marcus Armitage
0% — —
Angel Ayora Fanegas
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
Sam Bairstow
0% — —
Dan Bradbury
0% — —
Davis Bryant
0% — —
Jorge Campillo
0% — —
Filippo Celli
0% — —
Ugo Coussaud
0% — —
Martin Couvra
7% +1329 —
Gregorio De Leo
0% — —
Joe Dean
0% — —
Alejandro Del Rey
0% — —
Wenyi Ding
0% — —
Hennie Du Plessis
0% — —
Manuel Elvira
0% — —
Nacho Elvira
0% — —
Ewen Ferguson
0% — —
Tommy Fleetwood
14% +614 ▼ 19
Grant Forrest
0% — —
Ricardo Gouveia
0% — —
Julien Guerrier
0% — —
Jordan Gumberg
0% — —
Tyrrell Hatton
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
Angel Hidalgo
0% — —
Calum Hill
0% — —
Daniel Hillier
19% +426 ▲ 19
Michael Hollick
0% — —
Scott Jamieson
0% — —
Casey Jarvis
0% — —
Matthew Jordan
0% — —
Kota Kaneko
0% — —
Yuto Katsuragawa
0% — —
Nathan Kimsey
0% — —
Frederic Lacroix
0% — —
Joakim Lagergren
0% — —
Francesco Laporta
99% -9900 ▲ 99
Thriston Lawrence
0% — —
Mikael Lindberg
0% — —
Oliver Lindell
0% — —
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
0% — —

Showing the top 40 of 70 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 5 Nov 8
Marcus Armitage

Resolution rules

If Marcus Armitage finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 22, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship: Top 5 Finishers?

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