AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: India Under-19s vs P… 4% ▼ 46Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 91% ▲ 38College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 21How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $7… 19% ▼ 21NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 45% ▼ 18How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 38% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 43% ▲ 17Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 83% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: Indianapolis 41% ▲ 16Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 74% ▲ 16

Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship End of Round 3 Leader Odds · 2026 Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship

This market has resolved: Jon Rahm. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $30.1K Ended Nov 22, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Jon Rahm ✓
99% -9900 ▲ 99
Sam Bairstow
7% +1329 ▲ 7
Tyrrell Hatton
7% +1329 ▲ 7
Adrian Meronk
6% +1567 ▲ 6
Rory McIlroy
4% +2400 ▲ 4
David Puig
4% +2400 ▲ 4
Tommy Fleetwood
2% +4900 ▲ 2
Jayden Schaper
2% +4900 ▲ 2
Adam Scott
2% +4900 ▲ 2
Manuel Elvira
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Nacho Elvira
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Ewen Ferguson
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Julien Guerrier
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Daniel Hillier
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Matthew Jordan
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Nathan Kimsey
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Francesco Laporta
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Francesco Molinari
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Richard Sterne
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Matt Wallace
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Bernd Wiesberger
1% +9900 ▲ 1
Marcus Armitage
0% — —
Angel Ayora Fanegas
0% — —
Dan Bradbury
0% — —
Davis Bryant
0% — —
Jorge Campillo
0% — —
Filippo Celli
0% — —
Ugo Coussaud
0% — —
Martin Couvra
0% — —
Gregorio De Leo
0% — —
Joe Dean
0% — —
Alejandro Del Rey
0% — —
Wenyi Ding
0% — —
Hennie Du Plessis
0% — —
Grant Forrest
0% — —
Ricardo Gouveia
0% — —
Jordan Gumberg
0% — —
Angel Hidalgo
0% — —
Calum Hill
0% — —
Michael Hollick
0% — —

Showing the top 40 of 70 outcomes.

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 5 Nov 7
Jon RahmSam BairstowTyrrell HattonAdrian Meronk

Resolution rules

If Marcus Armitage is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 22, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on Abu Dhabi Aldar Championship End of Round 3 Leader?

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