2030 FIFA World Cup Champion Odds · 2030
Kalshi traders give Spain a 16% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 16% | +508 | — |
| France | 13% | +697 | ▲ 1 |
| England | 8% | +1233 | — |
| Brazil | 6% | +1702 | — |
| Portugal | 5% | +2005 | — |
| Germany | 5% | +2098 | — |
| Argentina | 4% | +2253 | — |
| Italy | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Norway | 3% | +2841 | ▲ 3 |
| Morocco | 3% | +3075 | — |
| USA | 3% | +3604 | ▲ 1 |
| Mexico | 2% | +4344 | — |
| Netherlands | 2% | +4344 | — |
| Belgium | 1% | +7307 | — |
| Japan | 1% | +9424 | — |
| Colombia | <1% | +11665 | — |
| Croatia | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Egypt | <1% | +22122 | — |
| Uruguay | <1% | +22122 | — |
| Cape Verde | <1% | +24900 | — |
| Greece | <1% | +24900 | — |
| Switzerland | <1% | +33233 | — |
| Qatar | <1% | +33233 | — |
| Ghana | <1% | +33233 | — |
| Korea Republic | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Canada | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Paraguay | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Ecuador | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Ivory Coast | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Turkiye | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Algeria | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Congo DR | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Nigeria | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Denmark | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Czechia | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Australia | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Slovakia | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Romania | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Ukraine | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Austria | <1% | +66567 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 82 outcomes.
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Mexico is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 2030 FIFA World Cup Champion?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Spain at 16%, about +508 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2031 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 2030 FIFA World Cup Champion?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.