2027 NBA Draft: 1st Overall Pick Odds
Polymarket traders give Tyran Stokes a 43% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyran Stokes | 43% | +133 | ▲ 19 |
| Caleb Holt | 23% | +336 | ▼ 2 |
| Bruce Branch III | 21% | +377 | ▲ 17 |
| Thomas Haugh | 13% | +658 | ▼ 0 |
| Jordan Smith Jr. | 12% | +737 | — |
| Patrick Ngongba II | 6% | +1450 | ▼ 6 |
| Hugo Yimga-Moukouri | 5% | +1805 | ▲ 2 |
| Dylan Mingo | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Baba Oladotun | 5% | +1941 | — |
| Brandon McCoy | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 2 |
| Braylon Mullins | 3% | +2885 | ▼ 3 |
| Cameron Williams | 3% | +2885 | ▼ 3 |
| Motiejus Krivas | 3% | +3536 | — |
| Amari Allen | 2% | +4248 | ▼ 4 |
| Colben Landrew | 2% | +5614 | ▼ 5 |
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first overall pick in the 2027 NBA Draft. If the player selected is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2027 NBA Draft is cancelled, or the first overall selection is not definitively known by July 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2027 NBA Draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in 2027 NBA Draft: 1st Overall Pick?
As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Tyran Stokes at 43%, about +133 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jul 9, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on 2027 NBA Draft: 1st Overall Pick?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.