Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33Louisiana-Monroe vs Grand Canyon: Grand Canyon 94% ▲ 97Nicotine product point of sale spend array i… 97% ▲ 97US crude oil inventories for the week ending… 80% ▲ 80How many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth b… 95% ▲ 80Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Jan 1… 4% ▼ 76Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 3% ▼ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 74% ▲ 75What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 65% ▲ 63Anthropic IPO Date: November 19 80% ▲ 55Will Iran target Oman by...: December 31 76% ▲ 53Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cre… 60% ▲ 48Will Iran target Oman by...: November 30 74% ▲ 48LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights: LG Sakers vs Se… 95% ▲ 48What will Trump say during his Veterans Day … 50% ▲ 47Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released… 79% ▲ 47WTA Finals Doubles, Group 2 (Doubles): Sinia… 94% ▲ 44Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs S… 89% ▲ 39Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios: … 71% ▲ 38"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 72% ▲ 37"You Can See Everything" total domestic gros… 28% ▼ 37How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: <$… 48% ▲ 35Fed decisions (Oct-Jan): Pause-Hike-Hike 44% ▲ 34Which of these people will be impeached firs… 48% ▼ 33

PGA Tour: Austin Championship Winner Odds

Polymarket traders give Tom Hoge a 39% chance.

Polymarket Volume $21.9K 24h $19.0K Liquidity $1.4M Ends Nov 15, 2026 Updated Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Tom Hoge
39% +156 ▲ 38
Beau Hossler
37% +174 ▼ 7
Harry Hall
33% +208 ▼ 11
Ben James
20% +413 ▼ 0
Michael Kim
20% +413 ▼ 0
Jackson Koivun
6% +1609 ▲ 2
Doug Ghim
5% +1962 —
Blades Brown
4% +2339 ▲ 1
Jordan L. Smith
3% +3290 ▲ 1
Chris Kirk
3% +3471 —
Andrew Novak
3% +3822 ▲ 1
Pierceson Coody
3% +3900 ▲ 1
David Ford
2% +4445 —
Brian Harman
2% +4551 —
Austin Smotherman
2% +4900 ▲ 1
Ben Kohles
2% +5163 ▲ 1
Johnny Keefer
2% +6150 —
Zach Bauchou
2% +6352 ▲ 1
Seamus Power
2% +6352 ▲ 1
Christo Lamprecht
1% +6797 —
Joe Highsmith
1% +7043 ▲ 1
Jackson Suber
1% +7043 —
Max Greyserman
1% +7307 —
Rico Hoey
1% +7592 ▲ 1
Marco Penge
1% +7592 —
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1% +7900 —
Eric Cole
1% +7900 —
Ricky Castillo
1% +8233 —
Austin Eckroat
1% +9424 —
Lucas Glover
<1% +10426 —
Peter Malnati
<1% +10426 —
Jesper Svensson
<1% +10426 —
Mackenzie Hughes
<1% +11011 —
Davis Riley
<1% +11011 —
Nick Dunlap
<1% +11665 —
Kensei Hirata
<1% +11665 —
Max Homa
<1% +11665 —
Stephan Jaeger
<1% +11665 —
Max McGreevy
<1% +11665 —
Neal Shipley
<1% +11665 —

Showing the top 40 of 100 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 10 Nov 11
Tom HogeBeau HosslerHarry HallBen James

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Austin Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Austin Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Austin Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by November 21, 2026 at 7:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in PGA Tour: Austin Championship Winner?

As of Nov 11, 5:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Tom Hoge at 39%, about +156 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on PGA Tour: Austin Championship Winner?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.