Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 92% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | +1076 | ▼ 7 |
| No | 92% | -1076 | ▲ 8 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve "Yes" if Caedrel reaches the Challenger rank in League of Legends solo/duo ranked queue on any server on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". "Reaching Challenger" means Caedrel's account attains the Challenger tier in the ranked solo/duo queue, as displayed in the official in-game ranked ladder or on his verified account, at any point during the market period. Reaching Challenger in flex queue does not count unless otherwise specified. The account must be one publicly identified as belonging to Caedrel and streamed or otherwise confirmed as his. Reaching Challenger on a smurf or alternate account still counts, provided it is verifiably his and he publicly demonstrates it (e.g., on stream). If Caedrel is confirmed to have reached Challenger at any point in the period — even briefly — this market resolves "Yes". The primary resolution source will be the official League of Legends ranked ladder (via the in-game client or op.gg / official Riot data for his verified account) and Caedrel's official streams or channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year"?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 92%, about -1076 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Caedrel Reach Challenger Before the End of the Year?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.