Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Rostock Seawolves vs. SC RASTA Vechta: O/U 1… 8% ▼ 42Total commitments for the Mori Finance publi… 11% ▼ 41Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 37Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 41% ▲ 34Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 96% ▲ 30Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE… 79% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 29Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 28South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 97% ▲ 25#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 17% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Rostock Seawolves vs. SC RASTA Vechta: O/U 1… 8% ▼ 42Total commitments for the Mori Finance publi… 11% ▼ 41Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 37Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 41% ▲ 34Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 96% ▲ 30Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE… 79% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 29Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 28South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 97% ▲ 25#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 17% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22

Where will Jensen Huang work next Odds

Polymarket traders give No new company before 2028 a 45% chance.

Polymarket Volume $26.9K 24h $7.1K Liquidity $23.1K Ends Jan 1, 2028 Updated Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
No new company before 2028
45% +125 ▲ 16
Founds new company
27% +277 ▼ 2
SpaceX
15% +567 ▼ 6
NVIDIA
5% +1769 —
AMD
3% +3233 ▼ 3
Microsoft
1% +7043 ▼ 4
Intel
1% +8596 ▼ 4
TSMC
1% +8596 ▼ 3
Tesla
1% +9900 ▲ 1
SoftBank
<1% +18082 ▼ 2
Oracle
<1% +18082 ▼ 1
OpenAI
<1% +19900 —
Anthropic
<1% +19900 —
Meta
<1% +24900 —
Amazon
<1% +24900 —
Apple
<1% +199900 —
Google
<1% +199900 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 13 Nov 15
No new company before 2028Founds new companySpaceXNVIDIA

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the first company at which Jensen Huang is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within its corporate or governance structure between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If Jensen Huang first publicly announces that he has founded, or will found, a new company within that period, this market will resolve to “Founds new company.” If that company is not listed as an outcome, this market will resolve to “Other.” If no such announcement is made by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No new company before 2028.” Nonprofit organizations, universities, foundations, and government bodies will not qualify; however, a role at a nonprofit organization, foundation, or trust that controls or formally oversees a qualifying company (e.g., the OpenAI Foundation) will count toward that company. Roles Jensen Huang already held at market creation will not qualify. Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a company (for example, SpaceXAI, formerly xAI, for SpaceX) will count toward that company. Preliminary discussions, negotiations or talks about a potential role, offers that have not been accepted, unpaid speaking engagements, guest appearances and one-time consulting will not qualify. Merely investing in a company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, or working for an independent organization that collaborates with or provides services to a company will not qualify unless Jensen Huang also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure. An announcement that Jensen Huang has founded, or will found, a new company must identify him as a founder or co-founder of the new company and must either name the company or state definitively that Jensen Huang has founded or will found it (e.g., “I have started a new company,” “I will be launching a new company”). Statements that Jensen Huang is considering, exploring, hoping, planning or in discussions to found a company, or that he may or might do so, will not qualify, nor will third-party reports of such plans. The company need not be incorporated or operating by the resolution date. Companies publicly announced before this market was created will not qualify. Subsidiaries, spin-offs, joint ventures and other entities created, owned or controlled by an existing company will not qualify as a new company; a role within one will count toward that existing company. Charitable foundations, nonprofit organizations, family offices and personal holding or investment vehicles will not qualify. A role at a company founded or co-founded by Jensen Huang after market creation will count toward “Founds new company.” An official announcement that Jensen Huang has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. If qualifying roles at more than one company are announced at the same time, this market will resolve to the company at which he takes the most senior role, with executive roles ranking above board seats and board seats above advisory roles. If a qualifying founding announcement and a qualifying role at another company are announced at the same time, this market will resolve to “Founds new company.” The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant company (including its regulatory filings), the relevant governance body, or Jensen Huang (including his verified social media accounts and authorized representatives); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Where will Jensen Huang work next?

As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No new company before 2028 at 45%, about +125 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Where will Jensen Huang work next?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.