What will Pep Guardiola's next job be Odds
Polymarket traders give Bayern Munich a 31% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 31% | +228 | ▼ 1 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 16% | +525 | — |
| Real Madrid | 12% | +766 | — |
| Juventus | 10% | +953 | — |
| Barcelona | 8% | +1166 | — |
| Italy | 8% | +1216 | ▼ 4 |
| Portugal | 5% | +2028 | — |
| England | 4% | +2253 | — |
| Brazil | 4% | +2310 | — |
| Spain | 3% | +3025 | — |
| Manchester City | 3% | +3674 | — |
| Argentina | 2% | +3982 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the next club or national team for which Pep Guardiola is officially appointed as manager or head coach, following his departure from Manchester City at the end of the 2025-26 season. Only an appointment as manager or head coach of a senior men's club or national team counts. Non-coaching roles do not count, including his current role as a Global Ambassador for City Football Group, and any sporting director, technical director, advisory, ambassadorial or ownership position. An official announcement by the club or national association before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. If Pep Guardiola has not been officially appointed as a manager or head coach by July 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the appointing club or national association. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in What will Pep Guardiola's next job be?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Bayern Munich at 31%, about +228 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on What will Pep Guardiola's next job be?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.