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What will Anthropic's IPO price per share be Odds

Polymarket traders give $74 to $75.99 a 38% chance.

Polymarket Volume $2.6K 24h $543 Liquidity $5.8K Ends Jan 1, 2028 Updated Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
$74 to $75.99
38% +167 ▼ 4
$78.01 to $82
38% +167 ▼ 4
$82.01 to $86
38% +167 ▼ 4
$72 to $73.99
37% +174 —
$76 to $78
37% +174 —
>$86
37% +174 ▼ 4
No IPO by December 31, 2027
12% +733 ▼ 17
$66 to $69.99
10% +953 —
<$66
8% +1233 —
$70 to $71.99
8% +1233 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 13 Nov 15
$74 to $75.99$78.01 to $82$82.01 to $86$72 to $73.99

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the final offering price per share of Anthropic's Class A common stock in its initial public offering (IPO). The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public per share of Class A common stock, as stated in the first final prospectus filed under Rule 424(b) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Brackets are inclusive of both listed values, measured to the cent (e.g., $78.00 falls in "$76 to $78" and $78.01 falls in "$78.01 to $82"). For this market, an IPO means an underwritten initial public offering of Anthropic's Class A common stock that results in those shares trading on a U.S. national securities exchange. A direct listing, a merger with a special purpose acquisition company, or a listing outside the U.S. will not count, because none of them sets an offering price. An IPO counts as completed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET if its final offering price is set and its shares begin trading by that time; the final prospectus confirming the details may be filed afterwards. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by then, or is acquired by or merges into another company before completing one, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in What will Anthropic's IPO price per share be?

As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price $74 to $75.99 at 38%, about +167 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2028 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on What will Anthropic's IPO price per share be?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.