Gas prices on November 15 Odds
Polymarket traders give $3.8200-3.8299 a >99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| $3.8200-3.8299 | >99% | -199900 | ▲ 11 |
| <$3.8200 | <1% | +199900 | ▼ 6 |
| $3.8300-3.8399 | <1% | +199900 | ▼ 31 |
| $3.8400-3.8499 | <1% | +199900 | ▼ 45 |
| $3.8500-3.8599 | <1% | +199900 | ▼ 15 |
| $3.8600+ | <1% | +199900 | ▼ 45 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA for November 15, 2026. This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent previously-published AAA US national average price of regular gasoline. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Gas prices on November 15?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price $3.8200-3.8299 at >99%, about -199900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Gas prices on November 15?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.