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France vs. Türkiye - First Team to Score Odds

Polymarket traders give France a 80% chance.

Polymarket Volume $1.4K 24h $1.4K Liquidity $34.6K Ends Nov 15, 2026 Updated Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
France
80% -388 ▲ 3
Türkiye
20% +413 ▼ 0
Neither
2% +4344 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 15 Nov 15
France

Resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between France and Türkiye, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "France" if France are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Türkiye" if Türkiye are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Neither". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Neither". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, including a result awarded that differs from the score as played, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Neither".

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in France vs. Türkiye - First Team to Score?

As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price France at 80%, about -388 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on France vs. Türkiye - First Team to Score?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.