Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of November Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| $340 | 89% | -770 | ▼ 2 |
| $350 | 88% | -700 | ▲ 2 |
| $360 | 84% | -525 | ▲ 6 |
| $370 | 76% | -308 | ▲ 5 |
| $380 | 66% | -190 | ▲ 5 |
| $390 | 53% | -113 | ▲ 4 |
| $400 | 42% | +138 | ▲ 5 |
| $410 | 31% | +228 | ▲ 3 |
| $420 | 21% | +388 | ▼ 2 |
| $430 | 18% | +471 | ▲ 4 |
| $440 | 17% | +504 | ▲ 6 |
| $450 | 12% | +762 | — |
| $460 | 10% | +866 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of November 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 30, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of November?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.