Sephora credit card spend in November 2026 Odds · November 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 100.5 | 99% | -6567 | — |
| Above 107 | 96% | -2122 | — |
| Above 110.5 | 86% | -614 | — |
| Above 113.5 | 71% | -239 | — |
| Above 116 | 47% | +115 | — |
| Above 119.5 | 51% | -104 | ▲ 15 |
| Above 123 | 24% | +326 | — |
| Above 131 | 5% | +2122 | — |
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Resolution rules
If the Carbon Arc Sephora credit card spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 100.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 12, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Sephora credit card spend in November 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.