S&P price on Nov 16, 2026 at 4pm EST Odds · On Nov 16, 2026 at 4pm EST
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7,425 or above | 97% | -3233 | ▲ 97 |
| 7,430 or above | 98% | -4900 | ▲ 97 |
| 7,435 or above | 95% | -1900 | ▲ 12 |
| 7,440 or above | 97% | -2757 | ▲ 94 |
| 7,445 or above | 95% | -1718 | — |
| 7,450 or above | 93% | -1329 | ▲ 92 |
| 7,455 or above | 93% | -1329 | — |
| 7,460 or above | 93% | -1233 | ▲ 90 |
| 7,465 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,470 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,475 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,480 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,485 or above | 76% | -317 | — |
| 7,490 or above | 74% | -285 | — |
| 7,495 or above | 67% | -203 | ▲ 2 |
| 7,500 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,505 or above | 72% | -257 | — |
| 7,510 or above | 66% | -194 | — |
| 7,515 or above | 64% | -178 | — |
| 7,520 or above | 69% | -223 | — |
| 7,525 or above | 40% | +150 | — |
| 7,530 or above | 72% | -257 | — |
| 7,535 or above | 21% | +376 | — |
| 7,540 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,545 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,550 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,555 or above | 19% | +426 | — |
| 7,560 or above | 44% | +127 | ▲ 1 |
| 7,565 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,570 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,575 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,580 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,585 or above | 28% | +257 | — |
| 7,590 or above | 25% | +300 | — |
| 7,595 or above | 22% | +355 | — |
| 7,600 or above | 19% | +426 | — |
| 7,605 or above | 16% | +525 | — |
| 7,610 or above | 0% | — | — |
| 7,615 or above | 12% | +733 | — |
| 7,620 or above | 12% | +733 | — |
Showing the top 40 of 60 outcomes.
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the S&P 500 index value on Nov 16, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7424.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 16, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on S&P price on Nov 16, 2026 at 4pm EST?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.