Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Rostock Seawolves vs. SC RASTA Vechta: O/U 1… 8% ▼ 42Total commitments for the Mori Finance publi… 11% ▼ 41Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 37Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 41% ▲ 34Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 96% ▲ 30Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE… 79% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 29Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 28South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 97% ▲ 25#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 17% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Rostock Seawolves vs. SC RASTA Vechta: O/U 1… 8% ▼ 42Total commitments for the Mori Finance publi… 11% ▼ 41Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 37Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 41% ▲ 34Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 96% ▲ 30Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE… 79% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 29Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 28South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 97% ▲ 25#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 17% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22

S&P price on Nov 16, 2026 at 10am EST Odds · On Nov 16, 2026 at 10am EST

Kalshi Volume $1.9K 24h $1.6K Ends Nov 16, 2026 Updated Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
7,325 or above
0% — —
7,330 or above
0% — —
7,335 or above
0% — —
7,340 or above
0% — —
7,345 or above
0% — —
7,350 or above
0% — —
7,355 or above
95% -1718 —
7,360 or above
95% -1900 —
7,365 or above
0% — —
7,370 or above
96% -2122 —
7,375 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 78
7,380 or above
95% -1718 —
7,385 or above
95% -1900 ▲ 32
7,390 or above
97% -3233 ▲ 33
7,395 or above
95% -1718 —
7,400 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 13
7,405 or above
0% — —
7,410 or above
95% -1718 ▲ 30
7,415 or above
0% — —
7,420 or above
0% — —
7,425 or above
97% -3233 ▲ 53
7,430 or above
50% -100 ▼ 5
7,435 or above
97% -3233 —
7,440 or above
96% -2400 ▲ 28
7,445 or above
96% -2400 —
7,450 or above
95% -1900 —
7,455 or above
95% -1718 ▲ 23
7,460 or above
60% -150 ▲ 3
7,465 or above
67% -203 —
7,470 or above
0% — —
7,475 or above
53% -113 —
7,480 or above
0% — —
7,485 or above
0% — —
7,490 or above
97% -3233 —
7,495 or above
78% -355 ▲ 78
7,500 or above
0% — —
7,505 or above
98% -4900 ▲ 98
7,510 or above
0% — —
7,515 or above
25% +300 —
7,520 or above
88% -733 ▲ 88

Showing the top 40 of 80 outcomes.

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 15 Nov 15
7,325 or above

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Nov 16, 2026 at 10am EST is above 7324.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 16, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on S&P price on Nov 16, 2026 at 10am EST?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.