Precipitation in NYC in November Odds
Polymarket traders give 3-3.5" a 36% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-3.5" | 36% | +178 | ▲ 5 |
| >5.75" | 27% | +277 | ▼ 1 |
| 3.5-4.25" | 23% | +335 | ▼ 14 |
| 4.25-5.75" | 15% | +567 | ▼ 6 |
| 2-3" | 12% | +733 | ▲ 7 |
| <2" | 3% | +3233 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between November 1 and November 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for November 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of November 2026. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Precipitation in NYC in November?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 3-3.5" at 36%, about +178 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Feb 8, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Precipitation in NYC in November?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.