Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Rostock Seawolves vs. SC RASTA Vechta: O/U 1… 8% ▼ 42Total commitments for the Mori Finance publi… 11% ▼ 41Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 37Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 41% ▲ 34Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 96% ▲ 30Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE… 79% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 29Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 28South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 97% ▲ 25#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 17% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Rostock Seawolves vs. SC RASTA Vechta: O/U 1… 8% ▼ 42Total commitments for the Mori Finance publi… 11% ▼ 41Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 37Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 41% ▲ 34Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 96% ▲ 30Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE… 79% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 29Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 28South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 97% ▲ 25#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 17% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22

November 2026 Unemployment Rate - Canada Odds

Polymarket traders give 6.9% a 27% chance.

Polymarket Volume $8.0K 24h $2.4K Liquidity $11.4K Ends Dec 4, 2026 Updated Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
6.9%
27% +277 ▲ 13
6.8%
22% +355 ▼ 4
6.7%
19% +441 ▲ 1
6.5%
18% +456 ▲ 12
6.6%
14% +590 ▼ 5
≥7.0%
9% +987 ▼ 3
≤6.4%
2% +5614 ▼ 13

We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money

Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 12 Nov 15
6.9%6.8%6.7%6.5%

On Kalshi

A similar market trades on Kalshi. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.

Unemployment in November · In Nov 2026
Above 3.7%>99% —
Above 3.8%99% —
Above 3.9%97% —
Above 4.0%81% ▼ 1
Kalshi $885 24h · $21.0K vol

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for November 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Labour Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm. The next data release is scheduled for December 4, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in November 2026 Unemployment Rate - Canada?

As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 6.9% at 27%, about +277 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Dec 4, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on November 2026 Unemployment Rate - Canada?

This market trades on Polymarket and a matching market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.