Las Vegas Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position Odds · Las Vegas Grand Prix
Kalshi traders give Max Verstappen a 39% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 39% | +160 | — |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 27% | +277 | ▼ 1 |
| Lando Norris | 14% | +641 | ▼ 3 |
| George Russell | 11% | +852 | ▼ 1 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 8% | +1233 | ▼ 1 |
| Charles Leclerc | 6% | +1718 | ▼ 4 |
| Isack Hadjar | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Valtteri Bottas | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Sergio Perez | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Nico Hulkenberg | <1% | +19900 | ▲ 1 |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Fernando Alonso | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Lance Stroll | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Pierre Gasly | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Alexander Albon | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Oscar Piastri | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Liam Lawson | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Oliver Bearman | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Franco Colapinto | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Ryo Hirakawa | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Arvid Lindblad | <1% | +19900 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
If Lewis Hamilton set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for November 20, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Las Vegas Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Las Vegas Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Max Verstappen at 39%, about +160 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 21, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Las Vegas Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.