Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Rostock Seawolves vs. SC RASTA Vechta: O/U 1… 8% ▼ 42Total commitments for the Mori Finance publi… 11% ▼ 41Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 37Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 41% ▲ 34Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 96% ▲ 30Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE… 79% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 29Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 28South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 97% ▲ 25#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 17% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Rostock Seawolves vs. SC RASTA Vechta: O/U 1… 8% ▼ 42Total commitments for the Mori Finance publi… 11% ▼ 41Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 37Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 41% ▲ 34Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 96% ▲ 30Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE… 79% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 29Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 28South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 97% ▲ 25#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 17% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22

W15 Nules: Maria Toma vs Mireia Sagrista Bermejo Odds

Polymarket traders give Maria Toma a >99% chance.

Polymarket Volume $647 24h $673 Liquidity $11.3K Ends Nov 19, 2026 Updated Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Maria Toma
>99% -19900 —
Mireia Sagrista Bermejo
<1% +19900 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Nov 12 Nov 12
Maria Toma vs Mireia Sagrista Bermejo

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Toma and Mireia Sagrista Bermejo in the W15 Nules, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Toma' if Maria Toma advances against Mireia Sagrista Bermejo. This market will resolve to 'Mireia Sagrista Bermejo' if Mireia Sagrista Bermejo advances against Maria Toma. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in W15 Nules: Maria Toma vs Mireia Sagrista Bermejo?

As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Maria Toma at >99%, about -19900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Nov 19, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on W15 Nules: Maria Toma vs Mireia Sagrista Bermejo?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.