Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 14, 2026 Odds · For the week ending Nov 14, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 175,000 | 98% | -3900 | — |
| At least 180,000 | 97% | -3233 | — |
| At least 185,000 | 94% | -1438 | ▲ 93 |
| At least 190,000 | 82% | -456 | ▼ 6 |
| At least 195,000 | 63% | -167 | ▲ 1 |
| At least 200,000 | 40% | +153 | — |
| At least 205,000 | 17% | +488 | — |
| At least 210,000 | 5% | +2122 | ▼ 1 |
| At least 215,000 | 3% | +3900 | — |
| At least 220,000 | 2% | +4900 | — |
| At least 225,000 | 2% | +6567 | — |
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Resolution rules
If there are at least 175,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 19, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 14, 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.