Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Rostock Seawolves vs. SC RASTA Vechta: O/U 1… 8% ▼ 42Total commitments for the Mori Finance publi… 11% ▼ 41Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 37Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 41% ▲ 34Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 96% ▲ 30Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE… 79% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 29Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 28South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 97% ▲ 25#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 17% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Rostock Seawolves vs. SC RASTA Vechta: O/U 1… 8% ▼ 42Total commitments for the Mori Finance publi… 11% ▼ 41Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 37Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 41% ▲ 34Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 96% ▲ 30Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE… 79% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 29Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 28South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 97% ▲ 25#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 17% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending November 7, 2026 Odds · the week ending Nov 7, 2026

Kalshi Volume $4.1K 24h $1.3K Ends Nov 26, 2026 Updated Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
At least 1640K
98% -3900 —
At least 1650K
98% -3900 —
At least 1660K
97% -3233 —
At least 1670K
96% -2122 —
At least 1680K
89% -809 —
At least 1690K
0% — —
At least 1700K
56% -127 ▲ 4
At least 1710K
0% — —
At least 1720K
16% +545 —
At least 1730K
6% +1718 —
At least 1740K
3% +3233 —

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Resolution rules

If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Nov 7, 2026 is at least 1640K, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 26, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

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