ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Odds
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe | 89% | -770 | ▲ 1 |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Set 1 Winner | 80% | -388 | ▼ 1 |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Set 2 Winner | 50% | +102 | — |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 31% | +223 | ▲ 3 |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +102 | ▲ 4 |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 22.5 | 41% | +144 | ▼ 6 |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Match O/U 23.5 | 25% | +308 | ▼ 24 |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 64% | -174 | ▼ 3 |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Game Spread +/-5.5 | 34% | +199 | ▼ 3 |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Frances Tiafoe in the ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group, originally scheduled for November 16, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 23, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.