Annual Return: DXY vs. Gold Odds · 2026
Kalshi traders give U.S. Dollar Index a 73% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Dollar Index | 73% | -270 | — |
| Gold | 11% | +809 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If U.S. Dollar Index performs above Gold during 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Annual Return: DXY vs. Gold?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price U.S. Dollar Index at 73%, about -270 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Annual Return: DXY vs. Gold?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.