#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 20 Odds
Polymarket traders give TikTok Pro - Events a 55% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| TikTok Pro - Events | 55% | -122 | ▲ 17 |
| Muse from Meta | 17% | +488 | ▼ 24 |
| Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace | 16% | +525 | ▼ 4 |
| ChatGPT | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 4 |
| Claude by Anthropic | 2% | +6567 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 20?
As of Nov 15, 10:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price TikTok Pro - Events at 55%, about -122 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 21, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 20?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.