TSA passenger screenings on Nov 15, 2026 Odds · November 15, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1,800,000 passengers | 96% | -2400 | — |
| At least 1,900,000 passengers | 96% | -2400 | — |
| At least 2,000,000 passengers | 96% | -2400 | — |
| At least 2,100,000 passengers | 96% | -2400 | — |
| At least 2,200,000 passengers | 96% | -2400 | — |
| At least 2,300,000 passengers | 93% | -1329 | — |
| At least 2,400,000 passengers | 70% | -233 | ▲ 80 |
| At least 2,500,000 passengers | 66% | -194 | ▲ 66 |
| At least 2,600,000 passengers | 44% | +127 | ▲ 44 |
| At least 2,700,000 passengers | 15% | +590 | ▲ 18 |
| At least 2,800,000 passengers | 4% | +2757 | — |
| At least 2,900,000 passengers | 3% | +3900 | — |
| At least 3,000,000 passengers | 3% | +3900 | — |
| At least 3,100,000 passengers | 3% | +3900 | — |
| At least 3,200,000 passengers | 3% | +3900 | — |
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Resolution rules
If the first published number of nationwide TSA passenger screenings on November 15, 2026 is at least 1,800,000 passengers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 16, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on TSA passenger screenings on Nov 15, 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.