Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post… 4% ▼ 58League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post… 96% ▲ 58SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 44% ▲ 35Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 96% ▲ 33Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 95% ▲ 29Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 28# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 27South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 18% ▼ 25Jensen Huang publicly testifies before Congr… 40% ▼ 25Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? 61% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 22JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post… 4% ▼ 58League of Legends Global Power Rankings Post… 96% ▲ 58SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: A… 94% ▲ 45Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 44% ▲ 35Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 96% ▲ 33Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 97% ▲ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 95% ▲ 29Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29Will Jensen Huang join SpaceX by...: Decembe… 18% ▼ 28# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 27South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 18% ▼ 25Jensen Huang publicly testifies before Congr… 40% ▼ 25Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? 61% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 22JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22

Nakashima vs Sakagawa Odds · Nakashima vs Sakagawa (Nov 15)

Kalshi traders give Bryce Nakashima a 96% chance.

Kalshi Volume $28.3K 24h $9.8K Ends Nov 15, 2026 Updated Nov 15, 11:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Bryce Nakashima
96% -2122 ▲ 95
Hiroki Sakagawa
5% +2122 ▲ 5

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Resolution rules

If Bryce Nakashima wins the Nakashima vs Sakagawa professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Champaign Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

Who is favored in Nakashima vs Sakagawa?

As of Nov 15, 11:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Bryce Nakashima at 96%, about -2122 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Nakashima vs Sakagawa?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.