Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Yas L… 9% ▼ 41# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 44% ▲ 36Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 33Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 96% ▲ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 95% ▲ 29Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 27South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? 62% ▼ 24Jensen Huang publicly testifies before Congr… 40% ▼ 24#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 18% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22#1 searched person on Google in 2026: Jensen… 15% ▼ 21Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 73% ▼ 21Lima: Lautaro Midon vs Miguel Tobon: Lautaro… 39% ▼ 20Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 95% ▲ 99Where will Democrats win state legislative s… 89% ▲ 89SK Slavia Prague vs. Igokea 11% ▼ 56Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Yas L… 9% ▼ 41# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 44% ▲ 36Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Gra… 61% ▲ 36Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 1… 10% ▼ 35Women's Bantamweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: … 97% ▲ 33Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur: Zso… 12% ▼ 32Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026: Ciryl Gane 96% ▲ 32Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 58% ▼ 30Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the … 95% ▲ 29Sheffield United FC vs. Watford FC - Exact S… 34% ▲ 29# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: … 40% ▲ 27South African Reserve Bank Decision in March… 65% ▲ 27Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? 62% ▼ 24Jensen Huang publicly testifies before Congr… 40% ▼ 24#1 Searched Person on Google 2026: Jensen Hu… 18% ▼ 24Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren… 20% ▼ 23Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw/Tie 4% ▼ 23JL Bourg Basket vs. Buducnost Podgorica: JL … 10% ▼ 22#1 searched person on Google in 2026: Jensen… 15% ▼ 21Vincent van Gogh: Châtaigniers en fleurs sal… 73% ▼ 21Lima: Lautaro Midon vs Miguel Tobon: Lautaro… 39% ▼ 20

Bitcoin above ___ on November 15, 12PM ET Odds

Polymarket Volume $431 24h $540 Liquidity $6.2K Ends Nov 15, 2026 Updated Nov 15, 12:00 PM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
66,600
<1% +199900 —
66,400
<1% +199900 —
66,200
<1% +199900 —
66,000
<1% +199900 —
65,800
2% +4662 —
65,600
<1% +199900 —
65,400
<1% +199900 —
65,200
2% +5305 —
65,000
2% +4778 —
64,800
4% +2678 —
64,400
98% -6352 —
64,200
98% -4551 —
64,000
>99% -199900 —
63,800
>99% -199900 —
63,600
>99% -199900 —
63,400
>99% -199900 —
63,200
>99% -199900 —
63,000
>99% -199900 —
62,800
>99% -199900 —
62,600
>99% -199900 —

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Nov 15, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Bitcoin above ___ on November 15, 12PM ET?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.